I wish I could say I was surprised at the latest cold-blooded murder of 19 peace activists by Isreali marines. I really do. But when I heard the news I just added this to the 100's of other war crimes and violations of international law that the Isreali State has committed over the past 62 years. Not only was this tantamount to a declaration of war against Turkey (most of the victims were Turkish) This attack by the Isreali navy occurred in international waters against neutral vessels, thus making it an act of piracy or, given that they were sanctioned by the Government, an act of privateering.
This action hasn't gone as the Isrealis wanted however. They're disregard for international law has led to an angry backlash from a number of countries, including notably, Turkey, Brazil and Sweden, who have all imposed some form of diplomatic sanctions, ranging from recalling their staff, to summoning the Isreali Ambassadors to explain their actions. Many other nations have openly deplored the actions of the Isreali Privateers and Even the traditional guilt-ridden allies of Israel, Germany, have called for a full enquiry. Egypt, the junior partner in the blockade, has gone so far as to open the Rafah crossing in response to internal pressure.
Despite this backlash, will Israel flinch? No. Israel will not do anything in any way just, they'll deport the illegally detained prisoners, they will intercept the MV Rachael Corrie, despite stern warnings from Ireland and will no doubt, continue to treat the Palestinian people like filth, keeping them starved of supplies, (they only allow 15,000 tonnes into Gaza, less than1/4 of what the UN said is required.) and will filter what was captured from the Flotilla in to Gaza as part of this (despite all the medicine and toys and wheelchairs being weapons, allegedly.)
So, what will come of this? Is there any hope of a resolution to the crisis? Well, There are three paths, two are impossibly stunted, one seems to be a bit too hopeful. The first two are, a strong US response, such as a cut in funds and exports with a possible arms embargo, and a clear UN condemnation of events, followed by an imposition of sanctions and the convening of a war crimes tribunal. Both, are subject to the Obama Administration actually doing something proactive. This is unlikely, as Obama is hamstrung by a christian right/Zionist lobby (few jews have stayed loyal to israel, it's primarily Bush Doctrine Adherents.) This will obivously cause the US to veto anything more than a UN declaration of mild irritation on deep regret at an action, hardly an effective response to one of the most despicably attacks on humanitarian workers.
The Third option would be an eastern Mediterranean/Middle-Eastern axis comprising Turkey, Egypt and possibly Syria, who maintain a strong military and diplomatic presence in the region. if this tripartite alliance were to be formed and work as a team then perhaps, Israel would be more reluctant to abuse every international regulation in the book.
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